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Citi Wealth Insights

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This week’s US data preview: CPI - kicking off FOMC day with strong core CPI; FOMC Preview – On hold for how long?

USD: Citi analysts expect a solid 0.26%MoM increase in US November core CPI, with strength led by rebounds in transitory components that were weak in October.
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Emerging Markets - No Bears Yet in Sight

Signs of classic end-cycle euphoria remain elusive in Citi’s Emerging Markets Bear Market Checklist.
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Top 10 Surprises for Markets in 2019

As 2019 draws to an end, we take a look back at 10 of the year’s most consequential headlines impacting the financial markets.
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US jobs and consumer confidence holding up dollar sentiment for now but upside still looking capped

USD: Rebounds Friday after steadying and halts a 6 day down trend in the process as the US November jobs report shows strong gains and the University of Michigan consumer confidence report magnifies the health of the US consumer.
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US House to proceed with impeachment of President Trump; USD attention though turns to US jobs data; Citi analysts positive on CNY

Safe Havens (JPY, CHF & Gold): House Speaker Nancy Pelosi says overnight that the US House will proceed with articles of impeachment against President Trump.
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Modest reversal to Safe Haven demand on reports US – China deal may be close; USD trades heavy ahead of jobs report; Citi’s sterling optimism

Safe Havens (JPY, CHF & Gold): USDJPY trades back up between 108.50-109 and RMB gains, taking back the 2 big figures loss from Wednesday as a Bloomberg report overnight suggests trade negotiators are moving towards a “phase one” trade deal despite recent heated rhetoric.
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