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Citi Wealth Insights

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Post-Pandemic Portfolio Positioning

Citi analysts think the world is likely to see a multi-stage recovery as COVID-19 is eradicated more slowly in some regions than others. It is therefore important to assess relative valuations.
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Asia - Looking Through 2Q Risks

Citi analysts suspect that markets may be range bound in 2Q with some volatility from policy uncertainty, but this is a necessary process as investors get accustomed to a more normal policy backdrop. In summary, Citi’s analysis of sensitivities to rising US yields and to tightening Chinese credit conditions supports a neutral allocation in China, Korea and Taiwan equities, while remaining overweight in Southeast Asia.
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CitiFX house views and strategy as at May 3, 2021

Updated compilation of the latest FX house views and strategy as at May 3, 2021
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Euro area recovery watch - a sustained return of inflation to ECB’s desired level still a distant prospect

EUR: Citi analysts admit that signals from euro area surveys have been stronger in April than anticipated and that there is some risk that the euro area recovery may be earlier and steeper than currently forecast.
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Singapore’s MAS - maximizing room for policy maneuver on shifting risks

SGD: Singapore’s baseline growth outlook has strengthened, though accompanied by heightened uncertainty – expectations for 2021 GDP growth to exceed 6% has been reiterated, in tandem with the global recovery, albeit with unevenness in sectoral outcomes amidst elevated uncertainty. Citi analysts think that upward 1Q21 GDP revisions and/or faster than expected borders reopening could bring 2021 GDP >7%.
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FOMC – Still “some time” before “substantial further progress”

USD: Overnight, Chair Powell repeats that it will still be “some time” before substantial further progress is made and tapering of asset purchases is appropriate.
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