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Citi Wealth Insights

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Demand for Safe Havens could Continue

Uncertainties and bouts of risk aversion could keep safe haven currencies like gold and JPY in demand. With the US Federal Reserve on alert to address USD supply / demand issues, monetary stimulus may pose headwinds to the USD, leaving it not quite the safe haven it used to be.
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Positioning Amid Lower Interest Rates

With central banks rolling out unprecedented levels of monetary easing, interest rates are expected to stay lower for longer. Cyclical-oriented sectors in US Investment Grade corporates may benefit in a new economic cycle, while Emerging Market Debt offer compelling valuations.
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Seeking Out Opportunities

With supportive fiscal and monetary policies in place, Citi analysts are overweight global equities going into the second half. By region, US small and mid-caps, emerging Asia and Latin America are preferred. By sectors, long-term themes such as Health Care and Digitization are favored, while also adding to Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs).
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Uncertainties in the Recovery

As global economies start to re-open from containment measures, uncertainties surround the pace of recovery, which is likely to be uneven across regions. Global GDP may contract by 3.5% in 2020, before growing 5.5% in 2021.
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2020 Mid Year Outlook: Investment Opportunities and Challenges in a Post COVID-19 Recovery

The longest bull market in history, which lasted between 2009 and early 2020 was put to an abrupt end by the onset of th...
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Risk sentiment continues to consolidate amidst recovery prospects/ policy boost vs number of headline risks emerging

GBP: A significant fiscal boost with more to come – Sterling gets a boost as the UK Chancellor notes the government is moving to stage 2 in its economic policy response to Covid 19 with a focus on stimulating demand and protecting jobs.
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