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Citi

Citi Wealth Insights

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Europe’s Improving Investment Outlook

Citi analysts are neutral on European equities but see four factors driving an improving investment outlook for the region, including the EU27 Recovery Fund agreement.
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Addressing Key Questions on Hong Kong

Amid tensions between US and China, Hong Kong’s (HK) prospects have come under pressure. Citi analysts share their views on key financial and economic questions from investors.
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Risk sentiment mixed while USD weakness extends on US fiscal delay/ Covid-19 concerns vs solid PMIs in EZ, UK, Australia

US phase 4 stimulus stalls, Covid-19 concerns continue, US – China tensions ratchet up
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Risk sentiment mixed on negative geopolitics headlines and little momentum in Brexit talks but countered by positive euro data

USD: On US Phase 4 stimulus talks, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin waters down unemployment benefits as part of the Republican Phase 4 stimulus package, while also completely ruling out the (already rocky) payroll tax cut proposal. Meanwhile, Republican Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell signals that the full bill might not be shared until “early next week.”
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Risk sentiment ends mixed but USD weakness extends

USD: Markets shift focus overnight from the positive fiscal cheer and new vaccine hopes to negatives - US – China tensions, US fiscal stimulus delay and President Trump’s warning that the COVID crisis could get worse.
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Narrowing optimism differentials with the US - fiscal cheer in euro zone and Australia sees EUR and AUD break to new highs vs USD

EUR: The EU Recovery Fund compromise deal totals €750bn (unchanged) with grants €390bn (down from €500bn) and loans €360bn (up from €250bn).
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