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Citi

Citi Wealth Insights

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2019 Mid Year Outlook: Embracing Uncertainty in a Slower Growth Environment

After a strong rebound that saw Global equities gaining 17.4% in the first half of 2019, we are now entering seasonally ...
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Risks Remain Elevated

Political and policy uncertainty affecting trade, sanctions and regulation is generating increased levels of investor concern, with impact on the global economy and financial markets.
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Uncertainty could see Safe haven Currencies in Vogue

The extension of the US-China trade dispute together with other unresolved geopolitical concerns – Brexit, a potentially more populist European parliament and US-EU/ Japan trade tensions risk posing headwinds to the 2H19 outlook. This is likely to support safe haven currencies.
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Pockets of Opportunities

Citi analysts believe that oil can outperform other commodities even if trade tensions were to escalate. This is because supply-side factors can be far more influential than demand changes.
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Protect the Downside

Amid a revival of trade fears, Citi’s overweight stance on fixed-income quality may help navigate more volatile mid-year markets and potentially strengthening risk-adjusted returns.
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Exploiting Late Cycle Opportunities

Financial markets weakened over the course of May as investors came to see a lower probability of a quick resolution of trade disputes. In light of trade fears revival, Citi analysts have scaled back on risk allocations by tactically reducing global equities to underweight.
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