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Citi

Citi Wealth Insights

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Simmering Tensions

Tensions between US and China are likely to present real risks to the world economy, with recovery largely dependent on the economic rebound of the world’s two largest economies. Geopolitical / political disruptions are key risks and diversification remains paramount in managing potential volatilities.
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Gold Continues Its Lead

Gold continues to lead commodities in year-to-date performance, proving to be an outperformer and acting as risk hedge in portfolios. Citi analysts continue to see gold prices trending up in the medium-term. Following a volatile 2Q, crude oil prices may be supported by demand improvements and lower supply.
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Demand for Safe Havens could Continue

Uncertainties and bouts of risk aversion could keep safe haven currencies like gold and JPY in demand. With the US Federal Reserve on alert to address USD supply / demand issues, monetary stimulus may pose headwinds to the USD, leaving it not quite the safe haven it used to be.
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Positioning Amid Lower Interest Rates

With central banks rolling out unprecedented levels of monetary easing, interest rates are expected to stay lower for longer. Cyclical-oriented sectors in US Investment Grade corporates may benefit in a new economic cycle, while Emerging Market Debt offer compelling valuations.
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Seeking Out Opportunities

With supportive fiscal and monetary policies in place, Citi analysts are overweight global equities going into the second half. By region, US small and mid-caps, emerging Asia and Latin America are preferred. By sectors, long-term themes such as Health Care and Digitization are favored, while also adding to Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs).
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Uncertainties in the Recovery

As global economies start to re-open from containment measures, uncertainties surround the pace of recovery, which is likely to be uneven across regions. Global GDP may contract by 3.5% in 2020, before growing 5.5% in 2021.
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