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Citi Wealth Insights

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Encouraging Vaccine News Boost Case for Equities

Encouraging vaccine news has boosted confidence in Citi’s base case views. The Citi Private Bank Global Investment Committee has further increased overweights to global equities, adding to developed markets (ex US) and emerging markets (ex China).
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Impact of a Healthcare Solution to COVID-19

On 9 November, pharmaceutical company Pfizer announced better-than-expected vaccine results, with “90% or more” efficacy in blocking COVID-19 transmission, according to the company. Citi analysts see the vaccine news as a first major advance toward a post COVID-19 world economy.
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East vs. West: A Contrast in COVID-19 Outcomes

After a summer reprieve, the rise of a second wave of COVID-19 in US & Europe was widely anticipated. In comparison, COVID-19 infection rates have remained dramatically lower in much of Asia.
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Positioning in a New Economic Cycle

Despite near-term uncertainties (US election and risk of rising COVID-19 infections in winter), a supportive macroeconomic policy backdrop and better-prepared health sector suggest challenges may not be nearly as severe as COVID-19’s initial global shock. Citi’s Global Investment Committee thus increased its Overweight in Equities, increased its Underweight in Bonds. Gold and REITs remain Overweight while Cash remains Underweight.
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The Economic Implications of COVID-19 in the US

News of President Trump’s infection highlights the increased health risks for the US and strengthens the hands of those arguing for a measured approach to economic re-openings. At the margin, Citi analysts think that the news may move Republicans toward a compromise on greater stimulus efforts.
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Are Yields Too Low for the Post COVID-19 World?

Following a confirmed COVID-19 treatment, global yields may rise. Equities may also rally modestly on a post COVID-19 recovery, but performance dispersion may see winning and losing sectors rotate.
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