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Citi Wealth Insights

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Are Yields Too Low for the Post COVID-19 World?

Following a confirmed COVID-19 treatment, global yields may rise. Equities may also rally modestly on a post COVID-19 recovery, but performance dispersion may see winning and losing sectors rotate.
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Investment Opportunities and Challenges in a Post COVID-19 Recovery

Given the unevenness of the economic rebound both by geography and by sector, navigating global markets in 2020 is likely to require investors to focus on a more targeted investment approach. Citi’s Global Investment Committee has moved Global Equities from Neutral to Overweight, increased its Underweight in Bonds and trimmed its Overweight in Gold. It also added a thematic allocation to REITs.
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An Evolving Pandemic – Opportunities and Risks

As major parts of the US economy reopened, a re-acceleration of COVID-19 cases began with some states recording daily highs. However, Citi analysts think it is unlikely to see a repeat of indiscriminate shutdowns across the world economy as a response to the threat.
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A Pandemic Pause Amidst the Recovery?

As individual States in the US emerge from the first-order effect of lockdowns, the result has been a uniform, major jump in economic activity, but an acceleration in the spread of the virus across half the country. Citi analysts expect financial market volatility to remain high. However, improving financial conditions, supportive macroeconomic policies, improving sentiment by consumers and business suggest that the new economic recovery could endure.
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Investment Strategies for Volatile Markets

Citi analysts believe the 31% rally in just almost 2 months, since the 23 March lows may limit future return opportunities for the S&P 500. Looking out into the next economic cycle, Citi analysts see potentially more attractive opportunities outside of US large caps in areas which have not participated as strongly in the rebound.
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Positioning for Opportunities Amidst Volatility

The road to recovery for equities is unlikely to move in a straight line. Citi analysts expect more volatility and new opportunities, even as some sectors and regions look attractive today.
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