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FX

US Treasury Auction Demand May be Supporting USD

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UST auction demand may be supporting USD

  • The USD was broadly higher overnight with buying possibly linked to foreign participation in the record US Treasuries auctions. US Treasuries with higher yields may possibly be attracting foreign buyers, which maybe the reason for this week’s demand for USD.

 

 

EUR & GBP: Likely sidelined by USD for now

  • EUR declines to 1.2330 overnight (from a 1.2557 high late last week) as the USD rebound continues. The German ZEW survey showed the Current Situations dip but still at elevated levels (92.3 versus 93.9 consensus) and the Expectations index a little higher at 17.8 versus 16.0 consensus. More importantly, the survey reveals German inflation expectations have begun to rise.

     

  • Sterling gains overnight from press reports that the European Parliament may call for UK to have ‘privileged’ single-market access after Brexit. This would likely be a positive development for the UK when considering EU negotiators had previously suggested it may only have limited access to the EU single market in a Canada-style deal.

 

 

Commodity Bloc: AUD & NZD sidelined for now against a more neutral USD

  • AUDUSD is back down at 0.7880 after hitting a high of 0.7989 late last week. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Minutes released yesterday only note that inflation will rise gradually as the economy strengthens, which – once again – likely reinforces the view for no near-term move on rates by the RBA.

     

  • Meanwhile, NZD is largely unfazed by the weaker dairy auction results released this morning with the Global Dairy Trade (GDT) price index falling -0.5% versus the +5.9% and the overall price index rising only 0.3% versus +7.6% prior.

 

 

This is an extract from the Daily Currency Update, dated 21st February 2018. Please approach a Citigold Relationship Manager if you would like more information.

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