Fed Chair Jerome Powell in his most recent semi-annual testimony gave his most explicit acknowledgment to date about the possibility of a US recession, saying one is possible and calling a soft landing “very challenging.”
Wealth Insights | Currencies - Weekly Houseviews and Strategy
Will higher rates support further DXY gains?
By Citi Wealth Insights |
The fading impact of higher UST rates on DXY may be due to the progressive flattening of the UST curve as rates rise – perhaps signaling a higher bar for further rate rises. This suggests DXY direction will increasingly need to come from outside the US with support potentially from continuing (and possibly escalating) geopolitical tensions or a deeper and extended downturn in China and Europe, while a cessation in Russia–Ukraine hostilities and/ or a more rapid easing in global supply constraints could lead DXY to weaken.
This video/webcast/article is provided at your specific request and for general information purposes only. It is not intended as a recommendation nor an offer or solicitation for the purchase, loan, swap or sale of securities, financial products, services or currencies. Neither all nor part of this video/webcast may be reproduced or copied in any manner without the written consent of Citibank N.A. or its affiliates or subsidiaries ("Citi"). This video/webcast/article has been prepared without taking account of the financial objectives, situation, or needs of any particular investor. Any person or entity considering an investment should consider the appropriateness of the investment having regard to their financial objectives, situation, or needs, and should seek independent advice on the suitability or otherwise of a particular investment.
Investments are not deposits, are not obligations of, or guaranteed or insured by Citi, or by any government, insurance agency or other public institutions, and are subject to investment risk, including the possible loss of all or part of the principal amount invested. Past performance is not indicative of future performance; prices can go up or down. Investment products are not available to US persons.
Investors should be aware that it is their responsibility to seek legal and/or tax advice regarding the legal and tax consequences of their investment transactions. If an investor changes place of residence (including tax residency), nationality, or place of work, it is his/her responsibility to understand how his/her investment transactions are affected by such change/s and to comply with all applicable laws and regulations as and when the same become applicable. Citi does not provide legal and/or tax advice. If you have any questions, please contact your Relationship Manager.
Please click on the following link for other important disclosures associated with this video/webcast/article, including but not limited to disclosures relating to certain risk factors and/or specific country disclosures that are applicable to you, depending on the country of your residence: asia.citi.com/wealthinsights/country-disclosures
This Communication is prepared by Citi Global Wealth Investments (“CGWI”) which is comprised of the Investments and Capital Markets capabilities of Citi Private Bank, Citi Personal Wealth Management and International Personal Bank U.S.
CGWI personnel are not research analysts, and the information in this communication is not intended to constitute “research”, as that term is defined by applicable regulations. Unless otherwise indicated, any reference to a research report or research recommendation is not intended to represent the whole report and is not in itself considered a recommendation or research report.
This communication is provided for information and discussion purposes only, at the recipient’s request. The recipient should notify CGWI immediately should it at any time wish to cease being provided with such information.Unless otherwise indicated, (i) it does not constitute an offer or recommendation to purchase or sell any security, financial instrument or other product or service, or to attract any funding or deposits, and (ii) it does not constitute a solicitation and (iii) it is not intended as an official confirmation of any transaction.
Unless otherwise expressly indicated, this communication does not take into account the investment objectives, risk profile or financial situation of any particular person and as such, investments mentioned in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Citi is not acting as an investment or other advisor, fiduciary or agent. The information contained herein is not intended to be an exhaustive discussion of the strategies or concepts mentioned herein or tax or legal advice. Recipients of this communication should obtain advice based on their own individual circumstances from their own tax, financial, legal and other advisors about the risks and merits of any transaction before making an investment decision, and only make such decisions on the basis of their own objectives, experience, risk profile and resources. Any statement in this communication regarding tax matters is not intended or written to be used, and cannot be used or relied upon, by any taxpayer for the purpose of avoiding tax penalties. Any such taxpayer should seek advice based on the taxpayer’s particular circumstances from an independent tax advisor.
The information contained in this communication is based on generally available information and, although obtained from sources believed by Citi to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness cannot be assured, and such information may be incomplete or condensed. This communication is for general information purposes only and is not intended as a recommendation or an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or currency. Persons who come into possession of this document are required to inform themselves of, and to observe such restrictions. Citi accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect. Any unauthorised use, duplication, or disclosure of this document is prohibited by law and may result in prosecution.
Any assumptions or information contained in this communication constitute a judgment only as of the date of this document or on any specified dates and is subject to change without notice. Insofar as this communication may contain historical and forward-looking information, past performance is neither a guarantee nor an indication of future results, and future results may not meet expectations due to a variety of economic, market and other factors. Further, any projections of potential risk or return are illustrative and should not be taken as limitations of the maximum possible loss or gain. Any prices, values or estimates provided in this communication (other than those that are identified as being historical) are indicative only, may change without notice and do not represent firm quotes as to either price or size, nor reflect the value Citi may assign a security in its inventory. Forward looking information does not indicate a level at which Citi is prepared to do a trade and may not account for all relevant assumptions and future conditions. Actual conditions may vary substantially from estimates which could have a negative impact on the value of an instrument. No part of this document may be reproduced in any manner without the written consent of CGWI. Citi is under no duty to update this document and accepts no liability for any loss (whether direct, indirect or consequential) that may arise from any use of the information contained in or derived from this communication.
Investments in financial instruments or other products carry significant risk, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. Financial instruments or other products denominated in a foreign currency are subject to exchange rate fluctuations, which may have an adverse effect on the price or value of an investment in such products. This communication does not purport to identify all risks or material considerations which may be associated with entering into any transaction.
Investment products are (a) not insured by any government agency; (b) not a deposit or other obligation of, or guaranteed by, the depository institution; and (c) subject to investment risks, including possible loss of the principal amount invested. Past performance is not indicative of future results: prices can go up or down.
This is neither an offer nor solicitation to purchase or sell any security, other investment or service or to attract any funds or deposits. This document does not constitute the distribution of any information or the making of any offer or solicitation by any one in any jurisdiction in which such distribution or offer is not authorized or to any person to whom it is unlawful to distribute such document or make any offer or solicitation. Investors investing in investment products denominated in non-local currency should be aware of the risk of exchange rate fluctuations that may cause a loss of principal. Investment products are not available to US Persons and may not be available in all jurisdictions.
Portfolio diversification is an important element for an investor to consider when making investment decisions. Concentrated positions may entail greater risks than a diversified portfolio. Certain factors that affect the assessment of whether your overall investment portfolio is sufficiently diversified may not be evident from a review of only your account with Citibank. It therefore is important that you carefully review your entire investment portfolio to ensure that it meets your investment goals and is within your risk tolerance, including your objectives for asset and issuer diversification. To discuss your asset allocations and potential strategies to reduce the risk and/or volatility of a concentrated position, please contact your personal banker/relationship manager.
For Investors in APAC Only
Hong Kong This document is distributed in Hong Kong by Citibank (Hong Kong) Limited ("CHKL") and Citibank N.A.. Citibank N.A. and its affiliates / subsidiaries provide no independent research or analysis in the substance or preparation of this document. Investment products are not available to US persons and not all products and services are provided by all affiliates or are available at all locations. Prices and availability of financial instruments can be subject to change without notice. Certain high-volatility investments can be subject to sudden and large falls in value that could equal the amount invested.
Singapore This report is distributed in Singapore by Citibank Singapore Limited (“CSL”). Investment products are not insured under the provisions of the Deposit Insurance and Policy Owners’ Protection Schemes Act of Singapore and are not eligible for deposit insurance coverage under the Deposit Insurance Scheme.
India Products so distributed are not obligations of, or guaranteed by, Citibank and are not bank deposits. Past performance does not guarantee future performance. Investment products cannot be offered to US and Canada Persons. Investors are advised to read and understand the Offer Documents carefully before investing.
Korea Investors should be aware that investment products are not guaranteed by the Korea Deposit Insurance Corporation and are subject to investment risk including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. Investment products are not available to US persons.
Malaysia Investment products are subject to investment risks, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. These are provided for general information only and are not intended as a recommendation or an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or currency or other investment products.
Thailand Citi does not dictate or solicit investment in any specific securities and similar products. Investment contains certain risk, please study prospectus before investing. Not an obligation of, or guaranteed by, Citibank. Not bank deposits. Subject to investment risks, including possible loss of the principal amount invested. Subject to price fluctuation. Past performance does not guarantee future performance. Not offered to US persons.
Bahrain Investment and Treasury products are subject to Investment risk, including possible loss of principal amount invested. Past performance is not indicative of future results: prices can go up or down. Investors investing in investments and/or treasury products denominated in foreign (non-local) currency should be aware of the risk of exchange rate fluctuations that may cause loss of principal when foreign currency is converted to the investors’ home currency. Investment and Treasury products are not available to U.S. persons. All applications for investments and treasury products are subject to Terms and Conditions of the individual investment and Treasury products. Customer understands that it is his/her responsibility to seek legal and/or tax advice regarding the legal and tax consequences of his/her investment transactions. If customer changes residence, citizenship, nationality, or place of work, it is his/her responsibility to understand how his/her investment transactions are affected by such change and comply with all applicable laws and regulations as and when such becomes applicable. Customer understands that Citibank does not provide legal and/or tax advice and are not responsible for advising him/her on the laws pertaining to his/her transaction.
UAE This document is distributed in UAE by Citibank, N.A. UAE. This is not an official statement of Citigroup Inc. and may not reflect all of your investments with or made through Citibank. For an accurate record of your accounts and transactions, please consult your official statement. Before making any investment, each investor must obtain the investment offering materials, which include a description of the risks, fees and expenses and the performance history, if any, which may be considered in connection with making an investment decision. Each investor should carefully consider the risks associated with the investment and make a determination based upon the investor’s own particular circumstances, that the investment is consistent with the investor’s investment objectives. At any time, Citigroup companies may compensate affiliates and their representatives for providing products and services to clients.
United Kingdom This document is distributed in the U.K. by Citibank UK Limited and in Jersey by Citibank N.A., Jersey Branch. Citibank UK Limited is authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and the Prudential Regulation Authority. Our firm’s Financial Services Register number is 805574. Citibank UK Limited is a company limited by shares registered in England and Wales with registered address at Citigroup Centre, Canada Square, Canary Wharf, London E14 5LB, Companies House Registration No. 11283101.
Citibank N.A., Jersey Branch is regulated by the Jersey Financial Services Commission. Citi International Personal Bank is registered in Jersey as a business name of Citibank N.A. The address of Citibank N.A., Jersey Branch is P.O. Box 104, 38 Esplanade, St Helier, Jersey JE4 8QB. Citibank N.A. is incorporated with limited liability in the USA. Head office: 399 Park Avenue, New York, NY 10043, USA.