Traveling to the post-COVID world: New portfolios for a new economy
In Mid-Year Outlook 2021, we examine our exit from the pandemic and what lies beyond. We highlight the assets that still...
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2021 Annual Outlook: New Economic Cycle, New Opportunities
The year 2020 has seen its fair share of major events – from the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic to the recent US Preside...
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U.S. Presidential Elections and U.S. / China Relations - Outlook for the Global Economy and Investment Markets
The 2020 US presidential election is scheduled for November 3, 2020 - the 59th quadrennial presidential election. Could ...
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2020 Mid Year Outlook: Investment Opportunities and Challenges in a Post COVID-19 Recovery
The longest bull market in history, which lasted between 2009 and early 2020 was put to an abrupt end by the onset of th...
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2020 Annual Outlook: Thriving Amid Uncertainty
2019 had been the year of uncertainty, driven by trade tensions, recession risks, impeachment escalation, Brexit delays ...
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Currencies - Daily Update
RBA likely to shift to slightly more hawkish in July following the solid Australian jobs report
AUD: RBA may no longer roll-forward purchases to Nov-24 bond after the strong May jobs report - the Australian May labor force smashes all expectations with employment rising +115.2k (Citi; 39.1k, Consensus; 35k), and the unemployment rate falling from 5.5% to 5.1% (Citi and Consensus; 5.5%) even as the participation rate rises from 66% to 66.2% (Citi and Consensus; 66.1%).
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2021 Mid Year Outlook
Traveling to the post-COVID world: New portfolios for a new economy
In Mid-Year Outlook 2021, we examine our exit from the pandemic and what lies beyond. We highlight the assets that still...
Watch Now
Currencies - Daily Update
June FOMC - hawkish upward revisions to dots, taper into view
USD: Citi analysts see the updated Fed projections overnight as more hawkish than expected, with the median dot implying two 25bp hikes by the end of 2023 versus Citi analysts’ base case of the median 2023 dot to move to only one 25bp hike.
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Currencies - Daily Update
June policy minutes – RBA mulls its QE options
AUD: RBA June board meeting Minutes - On the yield curve control target (YCC), the Bank notes that consideration to roll forward onto the November 24 bond would imply that the cash rate will not increase until late 2024.
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Currencies - Daily Update
June FOMC board meeting this week - preview
USD: Another potentially pivotal data release (stronger-than-expected US core CPI inflation) has come and gone with a counterintuitive market response – 10Yr Treasuries yields falling to their lowest levels since early March on Friday.
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Economy/Politics Equities
The Beginning of the End of Easy Money
Citi analysts believe the period of “free money policy” is coming to an end. The very strongest returns from the crisis period have passed. Citi analysts urge investors to allocate for the opportunities of the new post COVID-19 economy that lies ahead.
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