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Citi

Citi Wealth Insights

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A pause in dollar weakness overnight as US – China trade/ Brexit sentiment takes a step back

USD: US - China trade/ Brexit setback sees USD retracing last week’s losses - Reports circulate overnight that China-US talks could be cut short this week by one night.
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USD: Rising US political risks/ data weakness/ possible further Fed rate cut/ FX intervention risks/ potential US – China trade deal all weighing

A strong US jobs market but a weak business climate likely to lead to an October Fed cut
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Turn in market sentiment with US jobs data tempering bearish fears; US-China trade talks this week

Market sentiment turned as US jobs data helped allay bearish fears following weak US manufacturing data last week.
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US: Recent Weak Data a Cause for Concern?

Unexpectedly weak ISM non-manufacturing and ISM manufacturing data makes a further Federal Reserve cut likely this year. However, despite increased downside risk, Citi’s base case remains for GDP growth to continue around 2% for the remainder of 2019 and into 2020.
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Jessica Tan

Heading Towards Rising US-EU Trade Tensions?

The US Trade Representative (USTR) is expected to implement tariffs on US$7.5bn worth of EU products starting on October 18, following the World Trade Organization’s (WTO) ruling in favour of US.
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Growth risks and renewed focus on the Federal Reserve

Market remains focused on growth risks before shifting attention to potential action by the US Federal Reserve
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