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Citi Wealth Insights

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Q1 2022 Wealth Management Strategy

The identification of the COVID-19 Omicron variant in November initially rocked the financial markets. While there is uncertainty ahead, it is likely that the arrival of Omicron may extend the distortions of the economy associated with COVID-19, such as a rise in goods spending at the expense of services.

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The expansion will endure: Seeking sustained returns

In Outlook 2022, we highlight asset classes and regions that may lead the way in 2022 and beyond.

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5G and beyond: Connection to the future

Citi analysts seek investment exposure to this unstoppable trend via 5G-related real estate and beneficiaries.

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Digitization: Reshaping real estate

Increased adoption of e-commerce and remote working are set to endure far beyond the pandemic.

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Unstoppable trends: Greening the world

Citi analysts see potential opportunities for investors in diverse areas such as food production, cement making and water.

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Wealth Insights

Understanding Markets and Inflation

By Citi |
The sharpest “about face” in Fed policy in modern history has propelled a record combined drop in equities and fixed income, with both US stocks and long-term US Treasuries falling more than 10% in the last six months for the first time ever. In fact, there are only five previous periods in the past 60 years when both asset classes have lost more than 4% during the same time over half-year periods. Following joint declines in both US stocks and bonds, returns were solidly higher for both in the six months that followed on average. The five periods since the 1960s show 5.5% average gains for US equities and 10.9% for 10-year US Treasuries.
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Currencies - Daily Update

Sterling shrugs off Brexit developments but can it shrug off rising political criticism of the BoE

By Citi |
GBP: UK ministers join criticism of the BoE - several unnamed UK Cabinet ministers over the weekend are seen adding their voices to criticism of the BoE over its handling of the pandemic recovery and associated spike in inflation.
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Currencies - Daily Update

US data supports the Fed’s current view of raising rates by no more than 50bps

By Citi |
USD: University of Michigan consumer sentiment falls sharply, inflation expectations remain unchanged – the May University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index (preliminary) drops to 59.1 from April’s 65.2, much lower than consensus looking for 64.
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Currencies - Daily Update

UK GDP weakness re-affirms challenges ahead

By Citi |
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Currencies - Daily Update

An above consensus US CPI inflation points to more broad-based pressures

By Citi |
USD: US core CPI rises a solid 0.57%MoM in April, stronger than the 0.40% increase consensus expected but which brings the Y/Y reading from 6.5% in March to 6.2% (consensus had expected an even lower outcome of 6.0%).
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Currencies - Daily Update

Australia - strong retail sales & business conditions; overall inflationary pressures to persist

By Citi |
AUD: Australia’s real quarterly retail volumes rise 1.2% (consensus; 1.0%) in Q1 and on a nominal basis, retail turnover is up 2.9%.
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