2019 Annual Outlook: Volatility & Opportunities in the Late Stage Bull Market
Citi analysts believe the nine-year bull market has not ended as global GDP is projected to grow 3.1% in 2019 and corpor...
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Citi’s Update on US Midterm Elections and Trade Negotiations
How will the US midterm elections and ongoing trade tensions affect markets in the coming months?
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2018 Mid Year Outlook: Capitalizing on Volatility
Citi believes global growth will continue in 2018 as global GDP is projected to grow 3.4% this year and corporate earnin...
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Retirement: Achieving A Fulfilling Journey and Managing Multiple Goals
Citibank brings you insights from a recent webinar for clients, on how to achieve a fulfilling retirement and manage mul...
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How Emotions Affect Your Investment Decisions
Paul Hodes (Head of Consumer Bank Wealth Management at Citibank) speaks to Patti Williams (Associate Professor from the ...
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Currencies
Germany cuts growth outlook as expected but ECB’s Novotny pushes back on rates tiering
Germany’s government announces a cut to its growth forecast for 2019 to 0.5% vs 1.0% prior and 0.8% forecast by IMF and private research institutes.
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Currencies
RBA Minutes suggest rate cuts are not imminent
RBA keeps calm and carries on – Citi analysts remain highly skeptical of the “heated” debate among RBA watchers about whether changes to the final paragraph of the RBA statement signaled earlier in March represents a more dovish policy guidance.
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Currencies
Softer US data but relatively upbeat Fed speak maintains the risk positive backdrop
The forward looking US Empire manufacturing for April released overnight is up at 10.1 vs 8.0 expected though details are not as strong as the headline suggests.
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Sectors
The powerful credit expansion in January marked a major turning point
The China/greater China sector has had a stellar 1Q, with China H-shares and A-shares rallying 12.4% and 28.7%, respectively.
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Economy/Politics
Strong Credit Data to Reprice Easing Expectations
Money growth rebounded strongly - M2 growth jumped by 0.6pp to 8.6%YoY in Mar, much higher than market expectations (Citi/Mkt: 8.2%YoY).
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Currencies
Solid Chinese data and imminent US – China trade deal to support a stronger risk backdrop in Q2 & lessen demand for safe haven USD & JPY
Friday’s solid positive data from China sets up the coming weeks for further gains in risk assets including Asia EM FX led by CNY and commodity FX.
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