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Citi Wealth Insights

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An Evolving Pandemic – Opportunities and Risks

As major parts of the US economy reopened, a re-acceleration of COVID-19 cases began with some states recording daily highs. However, Citi analysts think it is unlikely to see a repeat of indiscriminate shutdowns across the world economy as a response to the threat.
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Simmering Tensions

Tensions between US and China are likely to present real risks to the world economy, with recovery largely dependent on the economic rebound of the world’s two largest economies. Geopolitical / political disruptions are key risks and diversification remains paramount in managing potential volatilities.
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Uncertainties in the Recovery

As global economies start to re-open from containment measures, uncertainties surround the pace of recovery, which is likely to be uneven across regions. Global GDP may contract by 3.5% in 2020, before growing 5.5% in 2021.
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Europe: Economic Recovery Underway, but Far Below Normal

Europe and UK face challenging unlocking phases. Citi analysts expect some resurgences from COVID-19, but no new widespread and prolonged lockdowns.
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Could Hong Kong Benefit from Relistings of US-listed Chinese Firms?

Hong Kong as an international financial center could potentially see further opportunities despite the challenges that arise within US-China relations.
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Investing for a New Economic Cycle

There are initial signs of COVID-19 recovery however the global economic recovery may be uneven across regions. In a post-pandemic asset allocation, Citi analysts reiterate their conviction in "Unstoppable trends" such as Digital disruption, Increasing human longevity and Asia but also see potential for beaten-down sectors in the near-term.
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