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Citi Wealth Insights

Bringing Citi global views to you.

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Economy/Politics

CIO raised its subjective probability of recession in 2023 to 40% from 35%

By Citi Wealth Insights |
The probability the Fed will swerve away from a dangerous course for the economy seems to be falling. 
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Economy/Politics

Remain Confident in Markets Despite Geopolitical Concerns

By Sumaira Franicevic |
Geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine have greatly escalated during last week. The crisis will likely mark a new security paradigm for Europe and the US.
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US | Economy/Politics

Fed Rate Hike Likely to Begin in March

By Citi Global Wealth Investments |
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left the Fed Funds rates unchanged at 0-0.25%, but indicated that a rate hike beginning in March was extremely likely.
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US | Economy/Politics

The Fed May Act Rationally to Normalize Policies

By Citi Global Wealth Investments |
It was a tumultuous week in markets, with investors on edge, worrying how far central banks may go to stamp out inflation. Since January 3, the S&P 500 index has sunk 8% while the Nasdaq is down 12%.
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Economy/Politics | Equities

The Market Loses the Fed’s Tailwinds

By Citi Global Wealth Investments |
Fed members have long believed that the extraordinary “easy money” policies that bolstered markets and supported the economy through the COVID-19 pandemic would end and that short-term interest rates would rise in 2022. However, in Dec 2021, they discussed reducing the Fed’s balance sheet in addition to rate hikes.
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Equities | Economy/Politics

What Fed Tightening Means for Portfolios

By Citi Global Wealth Investments |
The Federal Reserve has changed its minds. The Fed is speeding its “exit from easing” and presenting a favorable gradual “return to normal” scenario as likely.
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