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Citi Wealth Insights

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Eurozone Disconnects

A disconnect has emerged among Euro Area economies in relation to manufacturing and exports. However, despite manufacturing weakness, domestic indicators remain solid overall suggesting some resilience of the domestic economy.
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Central Banks to the Rescue

Last week, the European Central Bank (ECB) delivered significant monetary expansion to stimulate the economy and meet its 2% inflation target. This week, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve as they meet on 17-18 September.
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Staying Defensive on Trade Conflict Uncertainties

Recent “tit-for-tat” actions appeared to be a sharp turn in the approach to trade resolutions by US and China, but was soon confounded by messages that negotiations could be back on the table.
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China’s Slowing Growth Backdrop and Trade Headwinds

The combination of trade conflict and poor domestic sentiment is hitting growth. In view of this, there may be greater impetus to ease policy in coming months.
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PM Johnson Suspends Parliament in Bold Move

British MPs are crying afoul after PM Boris Johnson received the Queen’s approval to suspend Parliament from Sep 9 to resume on Oct 14. The move has further heightened the risk of a no-deal exit on Oct 31.
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Keep the Yield Curve Inversion in Perspective

While the 3 month Treasury bill – 10 year Treasury bond yield curve has been inverted since March, the 2-10 year Treasury yield curve recently inverted for the first time since 2007, spooking investors into de-risking.
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