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Citi Wealth Insights

Viewing the Wuhan Virus in Context

Viewing the Wuhan Virus in Context

The new coronavirus is likely to prove considerably less deadly overall than the common seasonal flu. Despite this, the precautionary measures taken to fight such outbreaks - such as travel bans and quarantines - have significant short-term negative economic effects.
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Phase 1 Deal Finally Signed - What Now?

The US-China Phase 1 deal represents a milestone as it grants a de-escalation of trade tensions, and reaches some commitments on intellectual property and technology issues. It should provide some reprieve to the global economy as some uncertainty is lifted.
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Markets Falter, but Take Lessons of History

US/Iran tensions took a major turn toward escalation recently, before de-escalating towards end of the week. Citi analysts see a low probability for geopolitical events to drive lasting turning points in the wider world economy. Diversified investors should build portfolios that they can comfortably live with under adverse scenarios.
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Where to after Phase One?

US and China are reportedly finalizing a series of long-running corporate deals ahead of the signing ceremony of the first phase of the trade deal this week. President Trump has indicated he would like to start second phase negotiations right away, but these may not finish until the US elections.
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Staying Positive

Political developments in the UK and trade policy progress between US and China that have helped clarify a generally positive economic outlook. However, investors should keep an eye on the developments in US and Middle East.
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Risks are Heightened

Uncertainties have piled on in the past year – Brexit delays, trade tensions, recession chatter, impeachment escalations and oil-market disruptions to name a few. With political fears driving risks in particular markets, this is a good time for investors to reassess the value of global diversification.
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